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Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
4 - 0
Malaga

Isi (18' pen.), Juande (21' og.), Angel Pozo (58'), Antonin (90+3')
Valentin (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Benkhemassa (45+4')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Rayo Vallecano and Malaga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawMalaga
48.19%28.9%22.91%
Both teams to score 39.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.42%65.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.7%84.29%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38%27.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84%63.15%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.64%45.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.78%81.22%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 48.18%
    Malaga 22.91%
    Draw 28.89%
Rayo VallecanoDrawMalaga
1-0 @ 16.11%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.2%
3-0 @ 4.45%
3-1 @ 3.52%
4-0 @ 1.43%
3-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 48.18%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 12.52%
2-2 @ 3.24%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 9.9%
1-2 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 3.92%
1-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.91%


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