Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 39.53%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 29.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.11%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.