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Segunda Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 0
Alcorcon

Rodriguez (43')
Enriquez (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Boateng (49')
Boateng (84')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Alcorcon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 0-1 (13.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawAlcorcon
35.8%31.4%32.8%
Both teams to score 38.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.73%69.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.24%86.77%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17%36.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38%73.63%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02%38.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3%75.71%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 35.8%
    Alcorcon 32.79%
    Draw 31.4%
MalagaDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 7.16%
2-1 @ 6.75%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 35.8%
0-0 @ 14.36%
1-1 @ 13.51%
2-2 @ 3.18%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 31.4%
0-1 @ 13.52%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 6.36%
0-3 @ 2%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 32.79%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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