SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.8%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 0-1 (13.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 35.8% | 31.4% | 32.8% |
| Both teams to score 38.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.24% | 86.77% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.17% | 36.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.38% | 73.63% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% | 38.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.3% | 75.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 14.34% 2-0 @ 7.16% 2-1 @ 6.75% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.87% Total : 35.8% | 0-0 @ 14.36% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.4% | 0-1 @ 13.52% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-3 @ 2% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.54% Total : 32.79% |
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