Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
-0.61) 
0.85) 
