Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
