Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 41.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 2-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
