Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 41.35%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 27.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
