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Segunda Division | Gameweek 18
Dec 11, 2020 at 6pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo

Lugo
1 - 0
Ponferradina

Rama (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Antonio Rios (41'), Larrea (56')
Curro (43')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Ponferradina.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
LugoDrawPonferradina
31.05%30.97%37.98%
Both teams to score 39.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.72%68.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.88%86.12%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26%39.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59%76.41%
Ponferradina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17%34.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43%71.57%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 31.05%
    Ponferradina 37.97%
    Draw 30.97%
LugoDrawPonferradina
1-0 @ 12.77%
2-1 @ 6.22%
2-0 @ 5.89%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 31.05%
0-0 @ 13.84%
1-1 @ 13.47%
2-2 @ 3.28%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.97%
0-1 @ 14.59%
0-2 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-3 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.97%

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