SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Lugo win was 1-0 (12.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 31.05% | 30.97% | 37.98% |
| Both teams to score 39.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.72% | 68.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.88% | 86.12% |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% | 39.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.59% | 76.41% |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% | 34.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.43% | 71.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Ponferradina |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% 2-1 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 5.89% 3-1 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.43% Total : 31.05% | 0-0 @ 13.84% 1-1 @ 13.47% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.97% | 0-1 @ 14.59% 0-2 @ 7.7% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-3 @ 2.71% 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.97% |
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