SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Burgos |
40.95% ( 0.2) | 28.3% ( 0.07) | 30.75% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 45.98% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.94% ( -0.3) | 60.06% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.72% ( -0.23) | 80.28% ( 0.23) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( -0.04) | 28.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% ( -0.05) | 64.66% ( 0.05) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.59% ( -0.35) | 35.41% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( -0.37) | 72.17% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.75% |
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