Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.

Result
Mirandes	Draw	Burgos
40.95% ( 0.2)	28.3% ( 0.07)	30.75% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 45.98% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.94% (

-0.3)

60.06% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.72% (

-0.23)

80.28% (

0.23)

Mirandes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.19% (

-0.04)

28.81% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.34% (

-0.05)

64.66% (

0.05)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

-0.35)

35.41% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83% (

-0.37)

72.17% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Mirandes 40.95%

Burgos 30.75%

Draw 28.3%

Mirandes	Draw	Burgos
1-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 40.95%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.3%	0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.75%