SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Alcorcon |
52.72% ( -0.23) | 25.98% ( 0.45) | 21.29% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 44.94% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.33% ( -1.8) | 57.67% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.57% ( -1.44) | 78.43% ( 1.44) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( -0.83) | 21.97% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( -1.28) | 55.27% ( 1.29) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.59% ( -1.26) | 42.41% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.21% ( -1.1) | 78.78% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.61) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.9% Total : 52.72% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.62)2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.62% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.29% |
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