Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.96%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
