SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 57.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.15%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.39%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| UD Logrones | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 16.09% | 26.69% | 57.22% |
| Both teams to score 35.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.71% | 65.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.9% | 84.09% |
| UD Logrones Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.79% | 53.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.22% | 86.78% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% | 23.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.76% | 57.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| UD Logrones | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 7.82% 2-1 @ 3.6% 2-0 @ 2.47% Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.09% | 0-0 @ 12.39% 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 2.62% Other @ 0.28% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 18.05% 0-2 @ 13.15% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-3 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-4 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.21% |
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