SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.2%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 36.06% | 30.03% | 33.91% |
| Both teams to score 42.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.78% | 65.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.96% | 84.04% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% | 34.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.86% | 71.14% |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% | 35.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.32% | 72.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.29% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.36% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.03% | 0-1 @ 12.66% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.01% Total : 33.91% |
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