Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.14%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
