Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.