Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for UD Logrones had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest UD Logrones win was 0-1 (12.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.