Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 35.25%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (12.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.