Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.84%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.6%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 1-0 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood.