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Segunda Division | Gameweek 19
Dec 5, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
3 - 1
Alcorcon

Brugman (47'), Baston (65', 68')
Calvo (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Asencio (90+1')
Gorosito (38'), Laure (81')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Alcorcon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.5%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real OviedoDrawAlcorcon
52.07%29.26%18.67%
Both teams to score 34.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.46%69.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.06%86.94%
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37%27.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83%63.17%
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.51%52.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.68%86.32%
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 52.06%
    Alcorcon 18.67%
    Draw 29.25%
Real OviedoDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 18.65%
2-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 7.73%
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 3.32%
4-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.07%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 52.06%
0-0 @ 14.5%
1-1 @ 12.02%
2-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 29.25%
0-1 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 3.88%
0-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 18.67%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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