Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tenerife in this match.