SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.94%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 53.31% | 28.63% | 18.06% |
| Both teams to score 34.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.53% | 68.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.75% | 86.25% |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% | 26.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.28% | 61.72% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.42% | 52.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.62% | 86.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 18.5% 2-0 @ 12.28% 2-1 @ 7.9% 3-0 @ 5.43% 3-1 @ 3.49% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.16% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.61% Total : 53.3% | 0-0 @ 13.94% 1-1 @ 11.89% 2-2 @ 2.54% Other @ 0.25% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 8.96% 1-2 @ 3.83% 0-2 @ 2.88% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.06% |
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