Real Oviedo
3 - 1
Lugo

Tejera (28' pen.), Fernandez Salas (62'), Nieto (88')
Gonzalez (2'), Fernandez Salas (33')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Luis Rodriguez (13')
Juanpe (11')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 42.55%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 26.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Lugo
42.55%	30.69%	26.76%

Both teams to score 38.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.38%

68.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.66%

86.34%

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78%

32.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29%

68.71%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48%

43.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.28%

79.72%

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 42.54%

Lugo 26.75%

Draw 30.68%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 15.87% 2-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 7.48% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.84% Total : 42.54%	0-0 @ 14.01% 1-1 @ 13.21% 2-2 @ 3.11% Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.68%	0-1 @ 11.66% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 1.53% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.75%