Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sabadell win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Lugo had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sabadell win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.23%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Lugo win was 0-1 (12.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
