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Segunda Division | Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
2 - 2
Sporting Gijon

Brandon (30' pen.), Enriquez (87')
Medina (15'), Escassi (19'), Enriquez (67'), Martin (85'), Jozabed (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Durdevic (16' pen.), Kravets (41')
Berrocal (9'), Diaz (24'), Babin (61'), Mendez (73'), Kravets (81'), Luis Rodriguez (90+2')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Sporting Gijon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 35.45%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.05%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (13.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
MalagaDrawSporting Gijon
35.45%31.27%33.28%
Both teams to score 38.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.1%68.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.48%86.52%
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.13%36.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.34%73.65%
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58%38.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83%75.17%
Score Analysis
    Malaga 35.45%
    Sporting Gijon 33.28%
    Draw 31.27%
MalagaDrawSporting Gijon
1-0 @ 14.13%
2-0 @ 7.05%
2-1 @ 6.75%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-1 @ 2.24%
3-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 35.45%
0-0 @ 14.16%
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.23%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.27%
0-1 @ 13.55%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-3 @ 2.07%
1-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 33.28%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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