Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.25%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 30.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-2 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.43%), while for a Malaga win it was 1-0 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
