SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Malaga |
| 37.35% | 29.72% | 32.93% |
| Both teams to score 42.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.67% | 64.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.58% | 83.42% |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% | 33.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.28% | 69.72% |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% | 36.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 13.21% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.34% | 1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 11.96% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.72% | 0-1 @ 12.18% 1-2 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.97% Total : 32.93% |
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