Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 39.12%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Huesca had a probability of 29.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.91%), while for a Huesca win it was 0-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
0.33) 
-0.03) 
