Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levante win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levante win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.