Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
