SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Castellon |
38.47% ( 0.09) | 27.65% ( 0.04) | 33.88% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.7% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% ( -0.17) | 57.05% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( -0.14) | 77.94% ( 0.13) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.22% ( -0.03) | 28.78% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.38% ( -0.04) | 64.62% ( 0.04) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( -0.17) | 31.63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.97% ( -0.2) | 68.03% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 38.46% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.88% |
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