SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Castellon win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Castellon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Castellon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Tenerife |
38.15% ( 0.05) | 29.21% ( -0.24) | 32.64% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.03% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.27% ( 0.81) | 62.73% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.73% ( 0.58) | 82.27% ( -0.58) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.21% ( 0.45) | 31.79% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% ( 0.51) | 68.22% ( -0.51) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( 0.57) | 35.45% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.78% ( 0.59) | 72.22% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 12.91% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.88% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.08% Total : 32.63% |
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