Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
