Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.18%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.68%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.