Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 1-0 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.