Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.