Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.69%) and 2-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Ponferradina win was 0-1 (12.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
