Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
