Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 35.84%. A draw had a probability of 32.2% and a win for Ponferradina had a probability of 31.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (6.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.52%), while for a Ponferradina win it was 0-1 (13.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.