SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Lugo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Andorra | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Huesca | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | Lugo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 5 | -1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal II | Draw | Lugo |
45.19% ( -1.24) | 27.74% ( 0.39) | 27.07% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.44% ( -0.88) | 59.56% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.1% ( -0.68) | 79.9% ( 0.68) |
| Villarreal II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -1.02) | 26.3% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( -1.38) | 61.43% ( 1.39) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.95% ( 0.25) | 38.05% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.18% ( 0.24) | 74.81% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal II | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.1)Other @ 2% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.63% Total : 27.07% |
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