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Segunda Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 1pm UK
Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal

Villarreal II
3 - 1
Lugo

Nino (35'), Lozano (52' pen.), Collado (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramos (77')
Lozano (28'), Ramos (45+5'), Loureiro (52'), Torres (71')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Villarreal II and Lugo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Levante 4-1 Villarreal II
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 45.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.

Result
Villarreal IIDrawLugo
45.19% (-1.244 -1.24) 27.74% (0.388 0.39) 27.07% (0.856 0.86)
Both teams to score 45.65% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.44% (-0.877 -0.88)59.56% (0.879 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.1% (-0.677 -0.68)79.9% (0.679 0.68)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (-1.02 -1.02)26.3% (1.021 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (-1.383 -1.38)61.43% (1.385 1.39)
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (0.247 0.25)38.05% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (0.237 0.24)74.81% (-0.236 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal II 45.18%
    Lugo 27.07%
    Draw 27.73%
Villarreal IIDrawLugo
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2%
Total : 45.18%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 10% (0.319 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.378 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.213 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Levante 4-1 Villarreal II
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 3-0 Mirandes
Saturday, September 3 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Granada 3-0 Villarreal II
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 2-2 Eibar
Friday, August 19 at 7pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing 0-2 Villarreal II
Sunday, August 14 at 4.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 1-2 Lugo
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Leganes
Saturday, August 27 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Tenerife 1-1 Lugo
Sunday, August 21 at 9pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-2 Albacete
Monday, August 15 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Lugo 1-0 Malaga
Saturday, May 28 at 5.15pm in Segunda Division


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