SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | FC Andorra | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Zaragoza | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 19 | Huesca | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Burgos | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 13 | Lugo | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Tenerife | 4 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
49.37% ( -0.21) | 27.96% ( 0.07) | 22.67% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.5% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.03% ( -0.11) | 62.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% ( -0.08) | 82.44% ( 0.08) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.15) | 25.81% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -0.21) | 60.76% ( 0.21) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.94% ( 0.08) | 44.06% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.83% ( 0.07) | 80.17% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 15.4% 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 49.37% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.67% |
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