Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 49.37%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Lugo
49.37% ( -0.21)	27.96% ( 0.07)	22.67% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 41.5% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.03% (

-0.11)

62.96% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.56% (

-0.08)

82.44% (

0.08)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19% (

-0.15)

25.81% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

-0.21)

60.76% (

0.21)

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.94% (

0.08)

44.06% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83% (

0.07)

80.17% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 49.37%

Lugo 22.67%

Draw 27.96%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 15.4% 2-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 49.37%	1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.96%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.67%