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FL
Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 29, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
BL

Fiorentina
4 - 0
Bologna

Chiesa (48', 54', 89'), Milenkovic (74')
Ghezzal (29'), Henrique (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Corbo (80')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBologna
48.09%24.53%27.39%
Both teams to score 55.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08%46.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83%69.17%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42%19.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.49%51.51%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97%31.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66%67.34%
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 48.09%
    Bologna 27.39%
    Draw 24.52%
FiorentinaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.91%
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 48.09%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.11%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.16%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 27.39%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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