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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Jul 18, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Giuseppe Meazza
BL

AC Milan
5 - 1
Bologna

Saelemaekers (10'), Calhanoglu (24'), Bennacer (49'), Rebic (57'), Calabria (90+2')
Kjaer (51'), Saelemaekers (54')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tomiyasu (44')
Sansone (35')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
50.27%23.32%26.41%
Both teams to score 58.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.71%42.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.31%64.69%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.05%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.97%47.02%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65%29.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68%65.32%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 50.27%
    Bologna 26.41%
    Draw 23.32%
AC MilanDrawBologna
2-1 @ 9.61%
1-0 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.06%
4-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.32%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-1 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 26.41%


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