Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Lecce
49.36%	24.47%	26.16%

Both teams to score 54.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.43%

47.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.22%

69.78%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.69%

19.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.93%

51.07%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68%

32.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.83%

Score Analysis

Bologna 49.36%

Lecce 26.16%

Draw 24.47%

Bologna	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.53% 2-0 @ 8.44% 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 7.05% 1-2 @ 6.55% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.16%