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SL
Serie A | Gameweek 30
Jul 4, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Citta del Tricolore
LL

Sassuolo
4 - 2
Lecce

Caputo (5'), Berardi (63' pen.), Boga (78'), Muldur (83')
Caputo (32'), Duricic (49'), Santos (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lucioni (27'), Mancosu (67' pen.)
Babacar (22'), Petriccione (34'), Paz (63'), Tachtsidis (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawLecce
60.52%20.2%19.29%
Both teams to score 60.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91%36.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8%58.2%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4%11.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.4%36.6%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98%32.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52%68.49%
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 60.52%
    Lecce 19.29%
    Draw 20.2%
SassuoloDrawLecce
2-1 @ 9.82%
2-0 @ 8.62%
1-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 7.05%
3-0 @ 6.19%
3-2 @ 4.01%
4-1 @ 3.79%
4-0 @ 3.33%
4-2 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.63%
5-0 @ 1.44%
5-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 60.52%
1-1 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 5.59%
0-0 @ 3.72%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.2%
1-2 @ 5.19%
0-1 @ 4.23%
0-2 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.29%


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