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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jul 1, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Via del Mare
SL

Lecce
1 - 2
Sampdoria

Mancosu (50' pen.)
Paz (37'), Mancosu (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramirez (40' pen., 75' pen.)
Augello (58'), Thorsby (77'), Bereszynski (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.12%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sampdoria in this match.

Result
LecceDrawSampdoria
35.85%23.73%40.42%
Both teams to score 62.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31%39.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96%62.04%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84%22.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45%55.55%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07%19.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92%52.08%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 35.85%
    Sampdoria 40.42%
    Draw 23.73%
LecceDrawSampdoria
2-1 @ 8.09%
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.85%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.42%
3-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-1 @ 7.12%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 4.65%
2-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.09%
1-4 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 40.42%


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