SPAL
2 - 2
AC Milan

Valoti (13'), Floccari (30')
Valdifiori (45'), Letica (58'), Cionek (79'), Dabo (85')
D'Alessandro (43'), Cionek (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Leao (79'), Vicari (90+4' og.)

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A fixture between SPAL and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	AC Milan
23.96%	23.89%	52.14%

Both teams to score 54.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

46.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.76%

69.24%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.15%

33.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.49%

70.51%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99%

18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.13%

48.87%

Score Analysis

SPAL 23.96%

AC Milan 52.14%

Draw 23.88%

SPAL	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.96%	1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.88%	0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 5.12% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.14%