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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
LL

Venezia
1 - 3
Lazio

Forte (30')
Crnigoj (56'), Ampadu (74'), Caldara (86')
Tessmann (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pedro (3'), Acerbi (48'), Alberto (90+5')
Felipe (45'), Pedro (54'), Basic (64')

We said: Venezia 1-3 Lazio

While Venezia will relish the challenge of playing host to another high-profile team, Lazio have no option but to produce an attack-minded performance. With that in mind, we expect Sarri's side to have too much firepower for the home side, securing another much-needed win in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Lazio in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
VeneziaDrawLazio
31.57%25.5%42.93%
Both teams to score 54.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04%48.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96%71.04%
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97%65.02%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29%22.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.62%56.37%
Score Analysis
    Venezia 31.57%
    Lazio 42.93%
    Draw 25.49%
VeneziaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 8.16%
2-1 @ 7.46%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.28%
3-0 @ 2.07%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 31.57%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 9.8%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.59%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.64%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 42.93%

Read more!
Read more!


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