We said: Lazio 3-1 Udinese
At a time when Lazio have performed well at home, Udinese have been equally poor away. With that in mind, we can only back a comfortable victory for Sarri's men, one which will keep them in the mix for the European spots.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 65.72%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.