It is difficult to see this encounter ending without a flurry of goals, as part of the Azzurri strikeforce which helped Italy win the Euros will be on display - with Immobile and Berardi being in particularly fine form.
Though Lazio have struggled to make a mark away from their Roman headquarters, they can strike on the counter to seal victory - establishing a significant points gap between the two clubs.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.
