Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alessandria win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alessandria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alessandria in this match.